I started investing in equity market way back in the year 2006 and have seen many ups and downs. What I could understand from the market is that nobody in this world can correctly predict the stock market movement and somebody is saying they can, that means they are lying. The only thing you can do is think hard and understand the company's business model and then assess its future based on the government policies, market demand, management expertise, external and internal factors. It is also a fact that if a company is doing good and justifying its fundamentals market will surely consider it and effect in stock price would be evident.
It is important to note here that I am not a SEBI registered analyst and whatever information I am sharing on this blog is based on my personal research and knowledge and this is just to help you with necessary information before putting your hard earned money anywhere.